Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000687 0.000782 0.000881 0.000995 0.001119 0.001252 0.001403
2025-08-31 0.000519 0.000646 0.000790 0.000963 0.001167 0.001395 0.001670
2025-09-07 0.000439 0.000581 0.000749 0.000961 0.001218 0.001519 0.001892
2025-09-14 0.000379 0.000530 0.000717 0.000961 0.001267 0.001634 0.002104
2025-09-21 0.000329 0.000484 0.000683 0.000951 0.001298 0.001724 0.002282
2025-09-28 0.000285 0.000440 0.000647 0.000934 0.001315 0.001795 0.002436
2025-10-05 0.000263 0.000425 0.000645 0.000960 0.001386 0.001934 0.002676
2025-10-12 0.000243 0.000407 0.000639 0.000978 0.001447 0.002059 0.002902
2025-10-19 0.000216 0.000379 0.000616 0.000969 0.001469 0.002133 0.003061
2025-10-26 0.000192 0.000352 0.000590 0.000956 0.001483 0.002194 0.003205
2025-11-02 0.000177 0.000337 0.000582 0.000966 0.001528 0.002299 0.003408
2025-11-09 0.000162 0.000320 0.000569 0.000966 0.001560 0.002385 0.003586
2025-11-16 0.000141 0.000291 0.000536 0.000936 0.001546 0.002408 0.003679
2025-11-23 0.000123 0.000266 0.000506 0.000909 0.001534 0.002432 0.003774
2025-11-30 0.000111 0.000251 0.000493 0.000906 0.001559 0.002508 0.003941
2025-12-07 0.000102 0.000239 0.000482 0.000906 0.001587 0.002589 0.004119
2025-12-14 0.000091 0.000224 0.000466 0.000897 0.001599 0.002647 0.004262
2025-12-21 0.000081 0.000208 0.000447 0.000881 0.001600 0.002687 0.004381
2025-12-28 0.000078 0.000206 0.000451 0.000905 0.001666 0.002825 0.004646
2026-01-04 0.000074 0.000202 0.000452 0.000922 0.001720 0.002948 0.004891
2026-01-11 0.000066 0.000190 0.000439 0.000914 0.001732 0.003006 0.005038
2026-01-18 0.000060 0.000178 0.000423 0.000901 0.001736 0.003050 0.005167
2026-01-25 0.000056 0.000173 0.000420 0.000910 0.001777 0.003153 0.005385